Dial Square's Higher Odds Soccer Thread

DialSquares · Oct 4, 2011

i've become quite bored with betting so i am switching it up to make it more interesting...i've done this before and know guys that only bet this way and it can turn really ugly, really fast. But betting at +200 or higher you usually don't need to win at a big % to win money. Might be wise to hold off until it starts hitting....i am thinking of giving myself 10 units to prove myself or fail.

League of Ireland First Divison
Cork City FC v Monaghan United
Monaghan United +225 - 0.44 to win 1 unit
Monaghan 8-3-1 on the road and are coming off a road win vs leaders Shelbourne. Cork are a great home side and having a great year too...winner will be in a promotional playoff match. Huge draw chance but i think road team certainly can win.

England Johnstone's Paint Trophy
AFC Wimbledon v Stevenage
AFC Wimbledon +240 - 0.42 to win 1 unit
Stevenage might want to concentrate on staying in League One - after a decent start 3 straight losses. Wimbledon are having a great year after promotion in league two and although sit in a promotional playoff spot i don't think that is really their goal. 3 straight wins for Wimbledon including a tough home win vs Gillingham.

Huddersfield v Bradford
Huddersfield -2.5 - +200 - 0.5 to win 1 unit
hudders won a carling cup match vs bradford 4-0 in 2008...Bradford bad form and leaking a lot of goals. Hudders was a semi-finalist last year and would love a final at Wembley. I don't doubt they win but 3+ is asking a lot esp with the last few years dissapointments of not winning promotion to the Championship. Hopefully 3-0 but tough.

gl - as i said 10 units to win or lose.

DialSquares · Oct 5, 2011

well a stoppage time goal away from a winning day - really thought i had at least Wimbledon right...i suspect that stoppage time goals against me will happen often enough since it will be taking a lot of dogs and they seem to blow it late (and arsenal)....

Italy Serie B
AlbinoLeffe v Padova
over 4 goals +350 - 0.29 to win 1 unit
albinoleffe are a perfect 7-0 on over 2.5 goals and 4-3 on over 3.5 goals. Suprisingly Padova is a perfect 4-0 on over 3.5 goals on the road - both teams coming off 6+ game and i don't follow Italy B very much but seems to me there is a bunch more goals. Whether there can actually be 5 today is a doubt...but good enough chance for me. Obiously over 2.5 is a much safer better play

Higher Odd Record:
0-3 -1.36

DialSquares · Oct 10, 2011

Record 0-4 -1.65

Sweden Superettan
Jönköpings Södra v Assyriska FF
draw +250 - 0.40 to win 1 unit
i think both teams will be happy to draw and worry about not being relegated in their final 2 games. Assyriska play Qviding and Vasteras after this one (worst 2 teams in the league), while Sodra will play Hammarby in the final round. So a draw would see Sodra 3 points clear from safety and with Hammarby playing Varnamo nearly safe from relegation. Of course both clubs will want to win and insure they are safe but at the same time a lost would put they right into the relegation area. H2H had 3 straight draws prior to the 1-0 win last year by Assyriska (which was scored in the 83rd min). So tight game - no one wants to lose - and a decent draw history...good enough for me

i think Norway can sneak a draw vs England in the U-21 EURO Championships Qual but i really don't like betting youth teams so no play.

DialSquares · Oct 12, 2011

finally hit one with the draw...1-4 -0.65 units

still using one hand so very little reasoning

Spain Copa del Rey
UD Almería v Elche CF
Elche +240 - 0.42 to win 1 unit
almeria needed extras to beat recently promoted Guadalajara last round and elche finished 4th last year in the Segunda. Almeria's focus is probably on returning to la liga and i think elche could win this one. huge draw chance and i didn't read any team news but road dogs win in the early rounds of the spain cup often...

Córdoba CF v Huesca
huesca +450 -0.22 to win 1 unit
huesca playing better on the road and cordoba great start to the year but still an average ii team....but i will admit i don't really follow spanish football

gl 2 tough ones today